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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 11/26/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

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Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Indianapolis Colts

Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN


Odds/Point Spread: Colts (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Indianapolis Colts (5-5) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday. Indianapolis opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 43.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers come into this game with a record of 4-6 for this year. When they last took the field, the Buccaneers played the 49ers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 27-14. Baker Mayfield went 29/45 with 246 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 76.7 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Rachaad White led the offense in rushing for the Buccaneers with 9 attempts for 30 yds (3.3 yds per attempt). Cade Otton left with an average of 12.3 yds per reception by totaling 49 yards on 4 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ended up rushing 18 different times and amassed 66 yards, which is an average of 3.7 yds per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 67 plays which gave them a total of 287 yards. Tampa Bay surrendered 21 pass completions on 25 tries for 305 yards, and a completion rate of 84.0%. In the running game, the Buccaneers gave up 115 yards on 30 tries, which is an average of 3.8 yds per run surrendered.

The Buccaneers have racked up 3,047 total yards for the season. Tampa Bay has amassed 113 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 69 infractions for 516 yds. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Tampa Bay has compiled 15 passing touchdowns and 4 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 10 different times (6 interceptions and 4 fumbles lost). Offensively they have an average of 76.9 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 32nd in the NFL. Concerning getting in the endzone, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold an average of 19.2 points per contest.

The Buccaneers rank 9th in the league in terms of their opponents scoring, conceding 20.0 PPG. They are allowing 3.7 yards per rush and 90.0 rushing yards per game for the year. For the season, they have allowed 900 running yards through 10 outings. When talking about yards through the air, the Buccaneers have conceded 2,707 yards which has them ranked 30th in the National Football League. They have surrendered 270.7 yards per game via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 67.6%. Overall, they have yielded 360.7 yards/contest which has them sitting 26th in the NFL.

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The Colts head into this game 5-5 this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Colts walked away with a victory by a final of 10-6 against the Patriots. Jonathan Taylor carried the football 23 times for 69 yards, finishing the contest with 3.0 yds per attempt for Indianapolis. Michael Pittman Jr. was one of the featured targets for the Colts, catching 8 passes for 84 yards (10.5 yards per reception). Gardner Minshew II walked away from the game with 194 yds on 18/28 passing while his QB rating was 69.6. He threw 1 interception and his Y/A was 6.9 yards. Indianapolis surrendered 36 attempts on the ground for 167 yards (4.6 yards per carry). The Colts passing defense allowed a completion rate of 66.7%, surrendering 173 yards on 18 out of 27 passing. The Colts finished the contest with a total of 264 yards and they ran 54 plays (4.9 yards per play). Indianapolis ran for 2.7 yds per carry, finishing with 70 yds on 26 carries.

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Regarding their ability to score points, the Colts rank 9th out of all teams in the league averaging 24.2 points per game. Over the course of the season thus far, the Colts have a total of 2,181 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 218.1 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 17th in the league. They hold an average of 118.0 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,180 yards overall. The Indianapolis Colts have an average of 336.1 yards per contest which has them sitting 14th in football. The Indianapolis offense has accrued 445 penalty yds on 63 infractions, which is 16th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 7 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 8 fumbles and they have tallied 106 1st downs.

The Colts are conceding 24.8 PPG, ranking them 26th of all teams in the league. They have surrendered 10 touchdowns through the air in addition to 228.8 yards/outing, which has them ranked 19th out of all teams. Indianapolis has surrendered a total of 1,297 rushing yards (129.7 yards per contest) and 15 touchdowns via the rush for the season. The Colts defense has taken part in 695 plays, which is 26th in the NFL. Their defense has totaled 16 takeaways (5 fumbles and 11 interceptions) this season. Over the course of the season, they have given up 248 total points.

Who will win tonight’s Buccaneers/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Tony’s Pick: Take the Buccaneers +2.5

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