Nov 20, 2022; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell before a game against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
- Early NFL Playoff odds are out for each team ahead of the 2023 season
- See which teams are favorites and which teams are good longshot bets to qualify for the postseason
- Below, you can find the playoff odds for every NFL team to make or miss the playoffs
Whether it’s March, April or September, nothing dominates sports media in North America like the NFL. While you’re checking the latest Aaron Rodgers and Lamar Jackson updates, why not have a gander at the NFL Playoff odds for each team heading into next season.
From the NFC, sportsbooks have made the 49ers the strong betting favorites to qualify for the playoffs at -475, while in the AFC, the defending Super Bowl champions from Kansas City actually fall right behind the Bengals who own -370 odds.
See the table below for the NFL Playoff odds for the rest of the field.
2023 NFL Playoff Odds
|Team||Odds to Make Playoffs||Odds to Miss Playoffs|
|Green Bay Packers||+180||-225|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-360||+275|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+350||-500|
|Los Angeles Chargers||-110||-110|
|Los Angeles Rams||+225||-285|
|New England Patriots||+250||-330|
|New Orleans Saints||-200||+165|
|New York Giants||+145||-180|
|New York Jets||-135||+110|
|San Francisco 49ers||-475||+350|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+370||-500|
At this point, the NFL Playoff odds for each team don’t swing too heavily one way or the other. With the NFL Draft still to come on top of additional trades, signings and unfortunately injuries to take place, sportsbooks aren’t locking in to strongly one way or the other.
All we can do is play with the cards we’ve currently been dealt. Below, we provide three of our best picks and went with teams that will provide a decent return on your investment. Our best bets below include two teams we think will make the playoffs and one team that won’t and we begin with the Detroit Lions.
Odds as of March 30th at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Detroit Lions Good Bet to Make Playoffs for First Time Since 2016
Yes, you read that headline right. We’re banking on the Lions to actually qualify for the postseason. Dan Campbell’s squad lost out on a playoff spot due to a tiebreaker with Seattle last year, as both finished with 9-8 records.
Not only do we think the Lions will make it into the playoffs this time around, we think they’ll win the NFC North outright. Regardless of what happens with Aaron Rodgers, the chances of him suiting up for Green Bay are slim to none, so expect a regression from the Packers.
While only two teams in the whole league won more games than last year’s division winner, the Minnesota Vikings, they were exposed quite a bit during the regular season before suffering an embarrassing 31-24 loss in the Wild Card round to the Giants.
Rich Eisen calls for a Detroit Lions home playoff game next season https://t.co/DwVSprqhWc
— Detroit Lions (@LIONSpeeps) March 23, 2023
Detroit started off the year 1-6, before rallying to win eight of their last 10 games. They’ve added stud defensive back CJ Gardner-Johnson from the Philadelphia Eagles. In addition, they have four picks in the first two rounds of the upcoming draft, so a team that finished 8-2 down the stretch is only poised to get stronger in a division where their top rivals got weaker.
The Pick: Detroit Lions to MAKE playoffs (-170)
Injuries to Tua Tagovailoa Concering for Dolphins
When Tua Tagovailoa is on the field and healthy, he looks like a quarterback that could challenge for the NFL MVP award. Unfortunately for him and the Miami Dolphins, his health has been a constant and serious issue for years now going back to his college days.
Miami just squeaked into the postseason last year, finishing with a 9-8 mark. However, they held an 8-3 record at one point before losing five straight and just squeaking out a victory in the last game of the season, 11-6 over the Jets in an ugly affair.
2023 Dolphins’ Results Without Tagovailoa
|01/15/2023||Loss||BUF 34 – MIA 31|
|01/08/2023||Win||MIA 11 – NYJ 6|
|01/01/2023||Loss||NE 23 – MIA 21|
|10/16/2022||Loss||MIN 24 – MIA 16|
|10/09/2022||Loss||MIA 17 – NYJ 40|
With Tua starting, the Fish had an 8-5 record as opposed to a 1-3 mark in games where he didn’t play, 1-4 if you include the playoffs. He’s never played more than 13 games in an NFL season. He had two confirmed concussions last year, and additional suspected concussion. Another head injury could knock him out long term.
We hope for the best for the Dolphins young and exciting QB, but without him, Miami just can’t perform the same way. Based on recent history, and the fact that the Bills and a Jets team likely awaiting Aaron Rodgers play in the same division, we have to go against the Fish making the postseason once again.
The Pick: Miami Dolphins to MISS playoffs (+100)
Rodgers Will Take Bite Out of the Big Apple
Nothing is written in stone yet, but it’ll be pretty shocking if Rodgers isn’t in a Jets uniform come opening day. Obviously, we’re counting on the four-time NFL MVP being under center for New York to make the playoffs for the first time since the Rex Ryan era.
Update: The #Jets–#Packers Aaron Rodgers trade will “certainly” happen before the 2023 Draft and could be done as early as this week, per @AlbertBreer https://t.co/DaOeeB0Fcw pic.twitter.com/kLqgCtDGUa
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) March 30, 2023
Eventually, when the trade with the Packers comes to fruition (we’re banking on this), Rodgers will join a team stacked with young offensive weapons. New York’s top-two playmakers were both rookies last year. Garrett Wilson racked up 83 catches and over 1,100 yards.
Meanwhile, running back Breece Hall scored five times and put up nearly 700 yards through the first seven games, before suffering a season-ending injury.
On the other side of the ball, the Jets owned the fifth-best defense per DVOA last season. The only thing missing was a standout at the pivot, as New York had arguably the worst quarterback play in the whole league last year. With a motivated Rodgers added to the squad, never mind the playoffs, the Jets will be a Super Bowl contender.
The Pick: New York Jets to MAKE the playoffs (-135)
George has had a lifelong love affair with sports and studying sports statistics since he was a kid. He graduated from Ryerson University with a Bachelor’s Degree in Journalism and has worked in the sports & media industry ever since in various roles from writer to producer.