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New England Patriots vs New York Giants Prediction, 11/26/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

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Game: New England Patriots vs New York Giants

Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023

Location: MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ


Odds/Point Spread: Giants (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 33

The New York Giants (3-8) are welcoming the New England Patriots (2-8) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday. New York opens as 3-point dogs. The total comes in at 33.

The New England Patriots come into this matchup with a record of 2-8 this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Patriots faced the Colts and took a loss by a final of 10-6. Rhamondre Stevenson led the offense in rushing for the Patriots with 20 carries for 88 yards (4.4 yards per carry). Demario Douglas had an average of 14.0 yards per catch by tallying 84 yards on 6 catches. Mac Jones went 15/20 with 170 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 79.2 and finished the game with 1 pick. Against the run, the Patriots gave up 70 yards on 26 tries, which averages out to 2.7 yds per rush allowed. New England surrendered 18 completions on 28 tries for a total of 194 yds, and a completion rate of 64.3%. When all was said and done, they ran 68 plays for 340 yards. The New England Patriots ran the football 36 different times and recorded 167 yards, which had them averaging 4.6 yards per carry.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the New England Patriots have an average of 14.1 PPG. As a team they’re holding an average of 94.9 yards on the ground ranking them 27th in the league. The Patriots have tallied 2,945 total yards for this campaign. New England has accounted for 98 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 63 penalties for 465 yards. They have surrendered the ball 16 times (11 interceptions and 5 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring, New England has compiled 10 touchdowns via the pass and 5 rushing touchdowns.

Concerning passing yards, the Patriots have conceded 2,288 yards which has them ranked 15th in the NFL. They have conceded 228.8 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 66.2%. During the season, they are giving up 326.5 yards/game ranking them 16th in the league. They are giving up 3.4 yards per rush and 97.7 rushing yards per game for the year. For the season, they have conceded 977 yards via the running game in 10 contests. The Patriots rank 23rd in the NFL when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 23.8 points per contest.

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The Giants step onto the field holding a record of 3-8 this season. When they last took the field, the Giants took home the win by a final score of 31-19 when they played the Commanders. Tommy DeVito (3 TDs) walked away from the game with 246 yds on 18/26 passing while his QB rating was 137.7. He didn’t throw any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 9.5 yds. Darius Slayton was the top contributor in the passing game for the Giants, bringing in 4 balls for 82 yards (20.5 yards per reception). Saquon Barkley ran the ball 14 times for 83 yds, walking away from the contest with 5.9 yards per attempt for New York. The Giants finished with a total of 292 yards while running 54 plays (5.4 yds per play). New York ran the football for 4.8 yards per carry, finishing the game with 91 yards on 19 carries. New York relinquished 28 rushing attempts for 174 yards (6.2 yds per rush). The Giants secondary gave up a completion rate of 68.9%, surrendering 229 yds on 31 for 45 passing.

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When looking at this team’s ability to score points, the Giants sit 32nd in football by tallying 13.5 points per outing. For the year to this point, the Giants currently sit at 1,657 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 150.6 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 32nd in the NFL. They average 111.5 yards per game via the rush and have run for 1,227 yards overall. The New York Giants are averaging 262.2 yards per outing ranking them 32nd out of all teams in the NFL. The New York offense has 496 penalty yards on 62 violations, which is good for 19th in the NFL in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 9 interceptions while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 91 first downs.

They have yielded 14 touchdowns through the air in addition to 236.5 yards per game, which has them in 22nd in the NFL. New York has allowed a total of 1,486 rushing yards (135.1 yards/game) and 17 touchdowns by ground for the season. In total, they have allowed 285 total points. They have earned 16 takeaways (7 fumbles recovered and 9 interceptions) so far this year. The Giants defense taken the field for 699 plays, which is good for 28th in the NFL. The Giants are relinquishing 25.9 PPG, which has them ranked 28th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight’s Patriots/Giants NFL game against the spread?

Josh’s Pick: Take the Patriots -3

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