Ligue 1’s Friday showcase match features second-place Marseille as they look to catch PSG in the French top flight title race.
Alexis Sanchez leads the line as Marseille welcome 11th-placed Montpellier to the Stade Velodrome. It will be a stiff test for Marseille, as Montpellier are in good form, unbeaten in their last six league games. While they have played mostly bottom-tier teams in that span, it’s still a tough time to catch the mid-table club.
Marseille sit seven points back of PSG, but with the Parisians floundering on occasion and looking less than stellar with no more Champions League action to motivate them, there could be opportunities. Yet Marseille also know that the gap can’t get any larger if they wish to have a chance at catching the defending champions.
The Sporting News football betting expert Kyle Bonn shares his best bets, props, and high risk/high return fliers for some of the biggest matches in the sport each week. Since the start of 2023, his best bets have hit 53.7% of the time, while his overall selections have generated a profit of over 35 units thus far. He has also correctly predicted 36 of 67 match outcomes via his 3-way moneyline leans to date.
Marseille vs Montpellier match facts
- Date: Friday, March 31
- Kickoff Time: 3:00 pm ET / 8:00 pm BST / 6:00 am AEST (Sat, Apr. 1)
- Location: Stade Orange Velodrome (Marseille, France)
- Official: Thomas Leonard
- Last meeting: Montpellier 1-2 Marseille (Jan. 2, 2023 | Ligue 1)
Marseille vs Montpellier prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Marseille (-225)
- Against the spread lean: Montpellier +1.5 (-160)
- Score prediction: Marseille 3-2 Montpellier
While ultimately Marseille should have enough firepower to outshine their opponents this weekend at home, it’s going to be a difficult battle. Montpellier are an underrated club in front of goal, and while they don’t create a ton of chances, they have very good finishers up front.
Goals should flow in this game, and we’re backing Montpellier to put up a fight, as you’ll see below.
to score Y / N
|Over / Under
|-225||+360||+600||-115 / -125||-150 / +110||+115||-160|
|-248||+364||+586||-119 / -132||-145 / +113||+115||-147|
|2/5||15/4||13/2||5/6, 5/6||4/6, 11/10||—||—|
|1.40||4.50||7.50||1.83 / 1.87||1.64 / 2.15||—||—|
|1.42||4.75||7.20||1.88 / 1.86||1.68 / 2.18||2.18||1.68|
Marseille vs Montpellier: Best bet
- Pick: Both teams to score — YES
- Odds: -115 (BetMGM)
These are two very good attacking teams, and while Montpellier are underdogs in the match, they are not to be underestimated in front of goal. The competition has all been bottom-tier sides, but they’ve put up very good numbers since February.
Going back even further, Montpellier have been shut out just two times, and just once while registering under 1.0 xG. They’ve also managed goals against this weekend’s opponent in the recent past, finding the back of the net in six of the last eight against Marseille dating back to their last win in this fixture in 2018.
Marseille vs Montpellier prop bet
- Pick: Teji Savanier to score or assist a goal
- Odds: +220 (FanDuel)
- Pick: Sepe Elye Wahi anytime goalscorer
- Odds: +300 (BetMGM)
This Montpellier team is a force up front, even if they don’t create a ton of chances. While they’re 12th in the league in expected goals, their haul of 44 goals on the year gives them a differential of +6.51, third-best in the French top flight. While that could indicate luck or good finishing, their xGOT-xG differential (4th best in Ligue 1) of +3.47 suggests the latter.
Their main goalscorer is 20-year-old Sepe Elye Wahi who is in great form, scoring four goals in his last three games, while their main chance creator Teji Savanier also beat up on the relegation-threatened teams Montpellier have played of late and can score himself on occasion as well. With Faitout Maouassa possibly struggling with an injury, at these odds, if even one of these guys crop up in front of goal, it’s a win for us.
Marseille vs Montpellier live stream, TV channel
|USA||beIN Sports, beIN Sports En Espanol||fubo, beIN Sports Connect|
|Canada||beIN Sports, beIN Sports En Espanol||fubo, beIN Sports Connect|
|UK||BT Sport 3||BT Sport|
|Australia||beIN Sports 2||beIN Sports Connect, Kayo Sports|
|New Zealand||—||beIN Sports Connect|
|Hong Kong||beIN Sports 2||beIN Sports Connect, Now Player, M Plus Live|
|Malaysia||beIN Sports||beIN Sports Connect, sooka|
|Singapore||beIN Sports||beIN Sports Connect, StarHub TV+|