Wednesday, December 6, 2023

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction, 11/26/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

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Game: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX


Odds/Point Spread: Texans (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

NRG Stadium is where the Houston Texans (6-4) will attempt to defeat the Jacksonville Jaguars (7-3) on Sunday. Jacksonville opens this contest as 1-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 48.5.

The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this game with a record of 7-3 for this year. In their last game, the Jaguars faced the Titans and walked away with a win by a score of 34-14. Trevor Lawrence connected on 24/32 with 262 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 119.5 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. Travis Etienne was the leader on the ground for the Jaguars with 14 totes for 52 yds (3.7 yds per carry). Calvin Ridley averaged 14.7 yds per reception by accumulating 103 yards on 7 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ended up rushing 36 different times and amassed 128 yds, which came out to an average of 3.6 yds per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they had 69 plays which gave them 389 yds. Jacksonville allowed 13 pass completions on 17 attempts for 143 yards, and a completion percentage of 76.5%. When it came to stopping the run, the Jaguars gave up 92 yds on 19 attempts, which calculates to 4.8 yards per run allowed.

The Jaguars have earned 3,341 yards in total for the year. Jacksonville has accounted for 110 1st downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 48 infractions for 392 yds. In terms of scoring, Jacksonville has compiled 11 passing touchdowns and 11 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the ball 17 different times (6 interceptions and 11 fumbles). As a team they’re averaging 108.7 yards rushing which has them sitting 17th in the league. When talking about putting points on the board, the Jacksonville Jaguars have an average of 23.0 points per outing.

The Jaguars sit in 11th in the league when it comes to team defense, allowing 20.4 points per contest. The opposition is running for 3.9 yards per rush on the ground and 87.0 rushing yards per contest for the season. For the year, they have conceded 870 running yards through 10 games. When it comes to passing yards, the Jaguars have given up 2,544 yards which puts them in 27th in football. They have given up 254.4 yards per game via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 64.1%. For the year, they are surrendering 341.4 yards per contest ranking them 20th in football.

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The Texans step onto the field holding a record of 6-4 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Texans walked away with a victory by a final of 21-16 when they faced the Cardinals. C.J. Stroud (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 336 yards on 27/37 passing while his QB rate was 85. He had 3 interceptions and his average yds per pass attempt was 9.1 yds. Devin Singletary ran the football 22 times for 112 yards, finishing the contest with 5.1 yds per carry for Houston. Tank Dell was featured in the passing game for the Texans, snagging 8 footballs for 149 yards (18.6 yds per reception). Houston ran for 4.4 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 111 yards on 25 carries. The Texans finished the contest with a total of 419 yards while running 67 plays (6.3 yards per play). The Texans secondary allowed a completion percentage of 66.7%, surrendering 196 yards on 20 for 30 through the air. Houston allowed 25 running attempts for 123 yards (4.9 yards per rush).

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The Houston Texans are averaging 377.2 yards/outing which is good for 4th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 99.5 run yards per game and have toted the ball for 995 yards for the year. They have tossed 5 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they have tallied 144 1st downs. The Houston offense has racked up 554 yards of penalties on 65 infractions, which ranks 13th in football in terms of making mistakes. For the season so far, the Texans have racked up 2,777 yards through the air along with holding an average of 277.7 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 2nd in football. Regarding how much they score, the Texans are ranking 10th in football holding an average of 23.8 PPG.

They have surrendered 10 touchdowns through the air and 241.4 yards per outing, which has them sitting 25th out of all teams. Houston has allowed a total of 965 rushing yards (96.5 yards per contest) and 12 touchdowns on the ground for the season. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 208 total points. They have tallied 14 turnovers (7 fumbles recovered and 7 picks) this season. The Texans defense has taken part in 633 plays, which ranks them 13th in the league. The Texans are giving up 20.8 points per game, ranking them 14th in football.

Who will win tonight’s Jaguars/Texans NFL game against the spread?

Guy’s Pick: Take the Texans +1

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