Tuesday, December 5, 2023

Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Prediction, 11/26/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

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Game: Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos

Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO


Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (-2.5)

Total/Over-Under: 35.5

Empower Field at Mile High is where the Denver Broncos (5-5) will attempt to defeat the Cleveland Browns (7-3) on Sunday. Denver opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 35.5.

The Cleveland Browns come into this matchup with a record of 7-3 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Browns played the Steelers and went home with a win by a final score of 13-10. Kareem Hunt led the offense in rushing for the Browns with 12 totes for 36 yards (3.0 yards per attempt). Elijah Moore had an average of 10.0 yards per reception by earning 60 yards on 6 receptions. Dorian Thompson-Robinson finished 24/43 with 165 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 54.9 and ended the contest with 1 interception. When it came to stopping the run, the Browns gave up 172 yards on 26 attempts, which averages out to 6.6 yds per run allowed. Cleveland conceded 15 pass completions on 28 attempts for 77 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.6%. In the game, they had 73 plays which totaled 259 yds. The Cleveland Browns ran the football 29 times and compiled 96 yards, which earned them an average of 3.3 yards per tote.

When it comes to getting in the endzone, the Cleveland Browns are averaging 22.7 points per contest. As a unit they’re averaging 142.7 yards on the ground giving them a rank of 3rd in the NFL. The Browns have racked up 3,258 total yards this year. Cleveland has compiled 93 first downs as a team, and they have committed 63 penalties for 506 yds. They have surrendered the ball 20 different times (13 interceptions and 7 fumbles lost). In terms of scoring touchdowns, Cleveland has earned 8 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns.

The Browns are sitting in 6th in the league in terms of team defense, allowing 18.0 points per contest. The opposition is running for an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 99.6 rushing yards per game for the year. During the season, they have allowed 996 running yards through 10 outings. In terms of yards via the pass, the Browns have given up 1,437 yards which ranks them 1st in football. They have allowed 143.7 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 55.3%. During the season, they have surrendered 243.3 yards per contest ranking them 1st in the National Football League.

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The Broncos come into this matchup with a record of 5-5 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Broncos got the victory with a final of 21-20 when they played the Vikings. Russell Wilson (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 259 yards on 27/35 through the air while his quarterback rating was 106.7. He didn’t toss any interceptions and his Y/A was 7.4 yds. Courtland Sutton was featured in the passing game for the Broncos, snagging 4 balls for 66 yards (16.5 yds per reception). Javonte Williams carried the ball 11 times for 37 yds, ending the game with 3.4 yds per carry for Denver. The Broncos finished the contest with a total of 295 yds while running 52 plays (5.7 yards per play). Denver ran for 3.1 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 46 yds on 15 attempts. Denver allowed 36 rushing attempts for 175 yards (4.9 yds per rush). The Broncos secondary allowed a completion percentage of 62.5%, relinquishing 210 yards on 20 for 32 through the air.

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Concerning their scoring prowess, the Broncos are 15th in football maintaining an average of 21.7 PPG. For the year to this point, the Broncos have thrown for a total of 1,910 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 191.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 24th in the league. They have an average of 110.2 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,102 yards for the year. The Denver Broncos have an average of 301.2 yards per contest ranking them 23rd in the NFL. The Denver offense has racked up 495 yards of penalties on 68 infractions, ranking them 11th in football in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 4 picks while allowing opponents to recover 9 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 94 1st downs.

The Broncos are relinquishing 26.8 points per game, which puts them in 30th in the NFL. They have given up 18 touchdowns from the passing game and 240.1 yards per outing, ranking them 24th in the NFL. Denver has surrendered a total of 1,600 rushing yards (160.0 yards per outing) and 11 touchdowns on the ground for the season. The Broncos defense has been on the field for 634 plays, which is 17th in football. They have 19 takeaways (9 fumbles and 10 picks) this year. This season, they have relinquished 268 points in total.

Who will win tonight’s Browns/Broncos NFL game against the spread?

Josh’s Pick: Take the Broncos -2.5

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