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Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, 11/26/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

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Game: Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023

Location: Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Eagles (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

Lincoln Financial Field is where the Philadelphia Eagles (9-1) will attempt to beat the Buffalo Bills (6-5) on Sunday. Buffalo is 3.5-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 47.5.

The Buffalo Bills step onto the field holding a record of 6-5 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Bills stepped onto the field against the Jets and notched a win by a score of 32-6. Josh Allen connected on 20/32 with 275 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 108.2 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. Khalil Shakir had an average of 38.3 yds per catch by notching 115 yards on 3 receptions. James Cook was the leader on the ground for the Bills with 17 attempts for 73 yds (4.3 yds per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they had 71 plays which totaled 393 yards. The Buffalo Bills ran the ball a total of 38 times and accounted for 130 yds, which is an average of 3.4 yds per carry. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Bills conceded 63 yds on 18 attempts, which is an average of 3.5 yds per run allowed. Buffalo conceded 15 pass completions on 30 attempts for a total of 92 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%.

In terms of scoring, the Buffalo Bills have an average of 26.7 PPG. Offensively they have an average of 117.7 yards in the run game which is 11th in the NFL. The Bills currently have 4,094 total yards for this campaign. Buffalo has compiled 134 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 73 penalties for 616 yds. They have turned the football over 19 different times (12 interceptions and 7 fumbles). In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Buffalo has compiled 22 touchdowns through the air and 12 touchdowns via the ground.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Bills have given up 2,246 yards which puts them in 14th in the league. They have surrendered 204.2 yards per game through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 67.9%. Overall, they have surrendered 314.6 yards per game which ranks them 10th in the league. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.5 yards per rush and 110.5 rushing yards per contest this year. During this campaign, they have given up 1,215 rushing yards through 11 contests. The Bills rank 4th in the National Football League concerning the opposition scoring, allowing 17.3 PPG.

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The Eagles come into this matchup with a record of 9-1 this year. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Eagles got the win with a final of 21-17 against the Chiefs. Jalen Hurts walked away from the game with 150 yds on 14/22 passing while his QB rate was 64.6. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.8 yards. D’Andre Swift carried the ball 12 times for 76 yds, ending the game with 6.3 yards per carry for Philadelphia. DeVonta Smith was a featured target for the Eagles, snagging 6 passes for 99 yards (16.5 yds per catch). Philadelphia ran the ball for 4.2 yards per attempt, totaling 114 yards on 27 carries. The Eagles finished the game with 238 yds while they ran 54 plays (4.4 yards per play). The Eagles passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 55.8%, surrendering 168 yds on 24 out of 43 passing. Philadelphia conceded 30 rush attempts for 168 yds (5.6 yds per carry).

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The Philadelphia Eagles maintain an average of 362.9 yards/game which has them ranked 9th out of all teams in the league. They are averaging 128.1 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,281 yards for the season. They have thrown 9 picks while surrendering 5 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 111 1st downs. The Philadelphia offense has totaled 449 penalty yds on 54 violations, which ranks 27th in the league in terms of hurting your team. For the season to this point, the Eagles have racked up 2,348 yards via the pass in addition to holding an average of 234.8 passing yards per outing, putting them at 12th in the league. In relation to how much they score, the Eagles are ranked 5th in the league holding an average of 27.3 PPG.

The Eagles are surrendering 21.2 points per contest, which puts them in 16th in the league. They have surrendered 21 touchdowns through the air as well as 248.1 yards/game, which has them sitting 28th in football. Philadelphia has allowed a total of 765 yards rushing (76.5 yards per game) as well as 3 touchdowns by ground for the year. The Eagles defense has participated in 626 plays, which ranks 10th in the NFL. They have earned 13 takeaways (8 fumbles and 5 picks) for the season. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 212 total points.

Who will win tonight’s Bills/Eagles NFL game against the spread?

Tony’s Pick: Take the Bills +3.5

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