The Monday Night Football matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs is undoubtedly a summit meeting. We saw these teams play in February’s Super Bowl, sure, but the reference here is about current MVP frontrunners Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts.
We’re still just beyond the season’s halfway point, and at virtually every sportsbook offering NFL MVP odds, the quarterbacks who guided their teams into playing for last season’s NFL title are lumped together at the top.
While the winner of Monday night’s game won’t stake claim to the award, putting together the better performance in a victory would likely give the winner a boost and establish them as a clear favorite.
Mahomes, the reigning Super Bowl MVP, has already won the award twice, including last season, when Hurts finished second. Let’s look at where things stand entering the showdown.
Current odds to win NFL MVP
Multiple top-rated sportsbooks have Hurts and Mahomes listed as co-favorites.
The only other two players entering the week with odds under +1200 are Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson and Miami Tua Tagovailoa.
Here are the latest NFL MVP betting odds:
Patrick Mahomes NFL MVP betting odds: Chiefs QB in position to repeat despite slower start
For those looking to nitpick, there’s no question Mahomes’ production isn’t what it has typically been in 2023. With just 17 touchdown passes through nine games, he’s on pace to post the second lowest-figure of his career, while his eight interceptions put him on track to surpass the 12 and 13 he’s had in each of the past two seasons.
However, Mahomes has been working with no true No. 1 wide receiver all season. He’s instead had to bring along a motley crew featuring a productive rookie in Rashee Rice, young guys like Kadarius Toney and Skyy Moore who have had their ups and downs, and veterans like Marquez Valdez-Scantling and Justin Watson, neither of whom anyone would confuse as a top receiving threat.
Yes, he gets to work with arguably the top tight end ever in Travis Kelce, but Mahomes has consistently put his team in position to win games and has been smarter with the football, taking fewer risks and letting his defense be more of a guiding force considering they’ve been worthy of doing so.
Mahomes has thrown for more than 300 yards on three occasions, which includes a vintage 424-yard, four-touchdown effort in a 31-17 Week 7 win over the Chargers, and has only failed to throw for a touchdown once. He’s stayed healthy enough to utilize his feet effectively to extend drives and has run for at least 20 yards in all but one contest.
With the Ravens, Dolphins, Jaguars and Browns all going into Week 12 with at least seven wins, there’s going to be work to do for Mahomes and the Chiefs to wind up with homefield advantage in the AFC no matter what happens on Monday night.
Kansas City still has to host rivals like the Bills and Bengals who are having down seasons, and will visit the Packers and Patriots in addition to divisional foes Las Vegas and L.A.
Jalen Hurts NFL MVP odds: Eagles QB has elevated team with arms, feet, and ‘tush’
Hurts was an MVP finalist last season, went 14-1 as a starter, and put up eye-popping stats in earning his first Pro Bowl nod, so he’s been on the radar for this award all season after bursting on the scene in a way he never had before in 2022.
Despite dealing with a knee issue that has caused him to utilize a brace at times this season, it’s the fact that he’s done so much with his legs that has him squarely in the race for top individual honors.
In guiding Philadelphia to the NFC’s best record, Hurts has scored seven rushing touchdowns, often via the polarizing “Brotherly Shove” — or “Tush Push” — a nearly unstoppable method for the team to capitalize in short-yardage situations that takes advantage of the fact he squats 600-plus pounds and works behind one of the league’s top centers, Jason Kelce.
Hurts is healthier now post-bye, so we may see him use his legs even more going forward, and he’s had just one game where he’s carried the ball fewer than eight times.
Through the air, Hurts has been effective, although detractors would say he’s sloppier than he was last season. The Eagles star has a touchdown pass in all nine games, but his 15 tosses for scores are actually fewer than Mahomes, and his eight interceptions are already two more than he managed in 155 more attempts last season.
Hurts’ 3.6 yards per carry are by far a career low, which is understandable given how often he’s asked to just push forward a yard or two, not to mention his lingering knee issue. Still, he’s capable of playing better and has said so himself.
Hurts has put himself in the co-favorite role by leading his offense to an average of 28 points per game, topping the 30-point mark four times.
He’ll be able to cement his status as the player to beat in the MVP race during a grueling stretch over the next few weeks that began before his team’s Week 10 bye with a win over the Cowboys, and will continue with games against the Bills, 49ers, Cowboys and Seahawks on deck.
NFL MVP Odds: Lamar Jackson sitting pretty watching MNF
Baltimore’s Jackson played on Thursday night and helped the Ravens become the first team to post eight wins despite losing top target Mark Andrews for the season. Jackson plays in the NFL’s most competitive division as the Browns, Steelers and Bengals are all at .500 or better.
So, the fact he has his team perched atop the AFC North works to his advantage. He’ll have a great chance at winning MVP honors, making this a three-horse race.
Miami’s Tagovailoa, San Francisco’s Brock Purdy, Dallas’ Dak Prescott, and Houston rookie C.J. Stroud, all quarterbacks, are listed by oddsmakers as the top longshots.
Among non-QBs, 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey, Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill, and Cowboys defensive standout Micah Parsons will earn consideration.
Where to bet on NFL MVP odds
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